According to Julian Emanuel, senior managing director at Evercore ISI, the high concentration of Big Tech companies involved in artificial intelligence (AI) is a cause for concern. Emanuel lists Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Nvidia, and Alphabet as potential areas of worry due to their clustering in the names.
Emanuel notes that two-thirds of the S&P 500 are driven by these top five names, leaving the public disproportionately exposed to losses.
Emanuel also expressed concerns about recent conversations he had with investors who view Big Tech stocks as safe havens, even going so far as to compare them to T-bills and bank deposits.
This bullish activity comes at a time when small caps are struggling, particularly the Russell 2000, which has been affected by regional bank pressures and is trading close to October lows.
To protect against potential losses, Emanuel recommends overweighting cash and finding yields at 5% attractive. He plans to put this money to work during the next market downturn, which he believes will be sparked by debt ceiling chaos and a troubled economy in the coming months.
Emanuel suggests that investors should consider staying in more defensive sectors, such as healthcare and consumer staples, which have outperformed since April 1. While Emanuel believes the AI revolution is significant, he warns that too much enthusiasm can lead to stocks selling off, and investors should proceed with caution.
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