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Despite Strong Holiday Sales, Walmart's Outlook Disappoints Wall Street

February 21, 2023
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The discount retailer claimed that it attracted price-conscious customers looking for food, gifts, and household items at a lesser price. As a result, Walmart's holiday quarter profitability exceeded forecasts.

But, after the big-box retailer provided a weaker-than-expected prognosis for the coming year, shares fell in premarket trade.

In the upcoming fiscal year, the business predicted that same-store sales at Walmart U.S. will increase by 2% to 2.5%, excluding gasoline. It falls short of StreetAccount's estimate of 3% increase from analysts. Without accounting for fuel, it expects adjusted earnings per share to range from $5.90 to $6.05.

Customers are still purchasing less discretionary items, according to Walmart CFO John David Rainey, as grocery prices are still high. That, he claimed, was taken into account by Walmart when making their forecasts.

Consumers are still under a lot of strain, he claimed. Also, balance sheets are becoming thinner and savings rates are falling in comparison to earlier times, according to economic indicators. We therefore have a rather cautious prognosis for the remainder of the year because of this.

Home Depot also provided a subdued prognosis when it released its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings on Tuesday morning. It stated that for the upcoming fiscal year, same-store sales are anticipated to be roughly flat.

According to Trade Algo, Walmart reported the following for the fiscal fourth quarter that concluded on January 31:

  • $1.71 adjusted earnings per share vs $1.51 anticipated
  • Revenue: $164.05 billion versus the anticipated $159.72 billion

Walmart's net income increased from $3.56 billion ($1.28) to $6.28 billion ($2.32) in the past year.

$164 billion in revenue represented a 7.3% year-over-year rise.

Without fuel, Walmart U.S.'s same-store sales increased by 8.3%. revenues from establishments open for at least a year are included in this important industry measure. For Walmart U.S., e-commerce revenues increased 17% year over year.

Same-store sales at Sam's Club increased 12.2%, fuel excluded.

The business is not just the biggest retailer in the country. Also, it is a supermarket powerhouse, which has helped to maintain revenues and increase foot traffic as Americans watch their spending due to high inflation.

Both Walmart's substantial grocery division and its reputation for value have benefited the company. By revenue, it is the biggest grocery store in the nation. These groceries' prices have drawn new customers of all income levels.

Walmart's share increases throughout the holiday season also came from lower- and middle-income customers.

Walmart has made strides in dealing with a problem that has beset many retailers: an abundance of unsold goods that accumulated in shop backrooms and ended up on clearance racks. According to Rainey, inventory is down 3% at Walmart U.S. and is nearly flat with a year ago.

Walmart's market value reached around $395 billion as of Friday's closure of its shares at $146.44. The S&P 500 has gained nearly 6% during the same period, while the company's shares have increased by only about 3% so far this year.

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