Wall Street staged a modest rebound as investors digested a new wave of corporate earnings. U.S. Treasury yields saw little movement ahead of a $42 billion auction of 10-year notes, while the dollar weakened against major currencies.
The S&P 500 ticked higher following a recent pullback driven by economic concerns. Apple Inc. rose 1.5% on reports that President Donald Trump plans to announce a fresh $100 billion investment from the tech giant aimed at boosting U.S. manufacturing. McDonald’s Corp. also advanced after reporting stronger quarterly sales, and Uber Technologies Inc. revealed plans for $20 billion in new share repurchases.
Corporate earnings continue to deliver far better-than-expected results. According to Bloomberg Intelligence, S&P 500 companies have reported profits beating second-quarter estimates by 9.1%—three times higher than initial forecasts and the strongest outperformance since 2021.
“Investors are juggling multiple storylines in today’s market, but earnings remain the primary driver of stock performance,” said Bret Kenwell, analyst at eToro. “While short-term pullbacks are possible due to macroeconomic pressures and seasonal weakness, they’ll likely present buying opportunities for long-term investors.”
Market sentiment remains upbeat, with many traders reluctant to bet against the current rally. A Goldman Sachs macro trader described fading this momentum as “almost irrational,” noting that equities appear to be looking beyond near-term recession risks.
Paolo Schiavone added that while uncertainties around global trade and high valuations could pose mild headwinds in the short run, long-term investors should focus on strategies to manage volatility without abandoning growth opportunities.
UBS Global Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Officer, Mark Haefele, echoed similar advice. He suggested that investors who are already fully allocated to stocks should consider short-term hedging strategies to cushion against market swings. Meanwhile, those underexposed to equities may want to prepare to increase holdings during market dips.
Despite the strong upward momentum, signs of overheating have emerged. The Bloomberg Intelligence Market Pulse Index—a sentiment gauge that blends six indicators, including market breadth, volatility, and leverage—recently hit a “manic” reading. Historically, when investor exuberance reaches this level, equity returns tend to soften over the following quarter.
On the bond market front, traders are increasingly positioning for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates later this year. With economic data signaling a potential slowdown, market participants believe the central bank could be pressured to lower borrowing costs—a move supported by President Trump.
Options tied to the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), a benchmark closely reflecting U.S. monetary policy expectations, indicate traders see a high likelihood of rate reductions at each of the remaining three Fed meetings this year. If realized, these cuts would total 75 basis points by early 2025.
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