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Is It Better To Invest In Growth Stocks Or Value Stocks? It Depends On Your Perspective

March 6, 2023
minute read

Value versus expansion? Sometimes it's difficult to distinguish between the two. And occasionally, it might change depending on the index you're using.

Microsoft: A value or growth stock? The majority of investors would classify it as a growth stock because it exhibits the typical traits of a growth stock, namely, increasing earnings.

But, Standard & Poors currently divides Microsoft into two categories: growth stocks and value stocks.

How does Meta fare? It was also regarded as a traditional growth stock. no longer. S&P now claims that it is a value stock wholly.

ExxonMobil: A value or growth stock? It has long been linked to value, which has been connected to businesses that paid large dividends and typically had lower P/E and price-to-book ratios. Nonetheless, ExxonMobil is now categorised by S&P as a growth stock at 100%.

Not just Exxon, but also the energy firms Chevon, ConocoPhillips, Williams, Coterra Energy, Marathon Oil, and EQT are now regarded as pure growth stocks.

How come? There are gray areas in the worlds of style and index investment. Moreover, nothing stays the same.

"Value is Dead" and indexing's victory

The founder of Greenlight Capital, David Einhorn, stated last week in an interview on Trade Algo that "value investing as an industry is dead. The money has flowed from value investors to index funds and it's not coming back."

He is undoubtedly correct in one respect: a decade of growth stocks' outperformance has reduced the number of value investors, and a large portion of their money (as well as a lot of other people's money) has shifted to indexing.

Due to indexing's success, many investors no longer attempt to purchase individual equities they believe to be growth or value opportunities. They only purchase indexes, or more precisely, mutual funds or exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that follow those indices.

The iShares S&P Growth and the iShares Value are built on index created by Standard & Poor's, and both have garnered significant investment.

Moreover, there are the Center for Research in Securities Pricing index-based Vanguard Growth and Vanguard Value funds. Also, there is competition from the iShares Russell Growth and iShares Russell Value.

These ETFs are founded on FTSE Russell indices. All of those indices don't compute growth or value in the same way.

The S&P growth and quality criteria are not straightforward.

Every December at the end, the S&P rebalances its growth and value indexes. This is quite common, but due to the erratic price movement in 2017, several equities have at least partially switched from growth to value, and vice versa.

Many consumers are left attempting to understand just what a growth or value stock signifies.

The S&P 500

Growth and value make up about equal portions of market capitalisation. One peculiarity of the indexes is that a stock is rarely completely labeled as a growth or value stock.

A three-year change in per-share earnings, a three-year change in revenues per share, and a 12-month price momentum are the three requirements for growth. Greater is

Lower book value to price, reduced wages to price, and reduced sales to price are the three requirements for being in value.

Each criterion is weighted for each stock. A development score and a value score are presented for each stock.

Why is Microsoft viewed as a value stock in part?

For the growth side, the price drop in large tech stocks in 2022 (Microsoft was down 28%) proved fatal. Because promotes investment is a factor, the significant fall caused Microsoft's weighting in the S&P indices to change from 100% growth and zero value weighting in 2021 to 58% growth and 42% weighting in 2022.

Is it appropriate to divide equities into value and growth categories?

Aniket Ullal, head of ETF data and analytics at CFRA, explained to me, "The basic concept is they want the capitalization to be split evenly among growth and value, and the sole way to do that is for equities to end up in the middle is to divide up those stocks partly to value and partially to growth.

While these specific indices can allocate stocks partially to growth and partially to value, Ullal pointed out that S&P does have "pure" growth and value indexes that enable investors to employ a targeted approach to growth and value.

These indexes' components have exceptionally good growth and value scores.

Exxon and other energy equities are currently only viewed as growth stocks, why is that?

Price momentum had a significant role once more.

According to Hamish Preston, director of U.S. equities indices for S&P Dow Jones Indices, "Energy companies benefited from skyrocketing commodity prices last year, as the S&P 500 Energy sector had its greatest calendar year total return ever (up 66%)".

Energy stocks also performed well in terms of other growth indicators (earnings change and sales growth numbers).

All the main energy equities were sufficiently moved into the growth camp.

You can get several results when building an index.

Indexes that follow a "style" (such growth or value) might have varying performances from year to year due to minute variations in how the indices are built and when they are rebalanced.

This has been seen by the respective growth ETFs' success this year.

ETFs for growth in 2023 (year to date)

  • Up 11.30% was Vanguard Growth (VUG).
  • 5.6% growth for the iShares S&P Growth ETF (IVW)
  • 9.2% growth for iShares Russell 1000 Growth (IVW)

Ullal noted that these are remarkably substantial disparities.

Due to the extraordinarily significant changes in stocks and sectors, 2022 was an aberration.

This is the first year we have seen such a substantial gap in the growth and value indices, he said, because to the significant price and sector movements last year.

Vanguard Growth and iShares S&P Growth still diverge by more than 5 percentage points thus far this year.

What causes the significant difference? According to Ullal, part of the reason is the S&P calculations' emphasis on momentum.

The technology weight in the CRSP index, which Vanguard employs, is 10% higher than the S&P index, according to Ullal. The Vanguard Growth ETF did better during the significant technology rally in January.

You can tell this just by looking at how Microsft is weighted in each index:

  • Microsoft ponderation
  • Growth Fund from Vanguard (VUG) 10.7%
  • 6.2% for iShares S&P Growth (IVW)

Performance may be impacted even when an index rebalances.

Although the index's determining elements are the most significant performance indicators, other data points might also affect the calculations.

Performance can be impacted even by the rebalancing time.

Similar performance discrepancies between growth and value ETFs for the S&P 500 and Russell 1000 have been highlighted by Shelly R. Simpson, senior analyst of portfolio and market strategy at Truist Advisory Services. She mostly blames the timing of the annual rebalances for this (S&P occurs in December, Russell in June).

"Differences in the timing of the annual rebalancing of constituents can explain the performance dispersion this year between the S&P and Russell value and growth ETFs," she said in a recent note.

Why does it all matter?

The main lesson to learn is that there is no "correct" or "wrong" method to build an index.

No one can agree on what defines growth or value, according to Ullal. Each index advisor makes a determination.

It has never been entirely clear what constitutes a growth or value stock.

But thirty years ago, expert stock pickers who created mutual funds and hedge funds in order to draw investors were largely responsible for defining concepts like what constitutes a value stock and what constitutes a growth stock.

Although the world was considerably smaller at the time, they didn't totally agree on the subject either.

What has changed is that indexing has gained ground.

The majority of investments now are made in ETFs that base their selection criteria on indexes. The public can buy on a very wide scale thanks to the indexes and ETFs.

The cheaper cost and scale of indexing and ETFs have benefited the investing public. Yet, it has increased the responsibility placed on the individual investor to comprehend their holdings.

The performance differences between value and growth vehicles have taught us that investors must understand what they are holding, according to Simpson. "Then they may assess driving performance and gauge whether they are still at ease in their position."

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John Liu
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Eric Ng
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John Liu
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