As inflation rises for longer and recession risks rise, investors are flocking to gold, a so-called safe haven. Tumult in the banking sector further strengthens gold's appeal.
At one point on Thursday, gold prices were around $2,020 an ounce, up about 10% from this time last year. In August 2020, during the early days of the Covid-19 crisis, the price peaked at $2,075 -- within striking distance of its previous peak. The price of gold is expected to rise further in the future, according to some industry insiders.
Depending on which recessionary scenario occurs - if any - hedge fund manager David Neuhauser predicts the price may even hit $3,000.
According to Neuhauser, the chief investment officer at Livermore Partners, "Do we anticipate a protracted recession or a shallow move?"?
He said it would be “Determining” whether gold sees $2,200 or $2,300 in the next several months, or whether there is a greater, more pronounced effect on gold, where it may even go as high as $3,000 an ounce in the next year or two,” as he spoke to Trade Algo
According to FactSet, CNBC Pro looked for stocks in the Global X Gold Explorers ETF, the iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF, the VanEck Gold Miners ETF, and the SPDR S&P Metals and Mining ETFs that could benefit from higher gold prices.
A majority of analysts cover the following stocks, and they have an average upside of 20%:
There is a 40.4% potential upside for NovaGold Resources, and 66% of analysts rate it as a buy.
Analysts believe Karora Resources' stock will have a 37.1% upside over the next twelve months. By 2024, the company aims to produce 185,000 to 205,000 ounces of gold from its gold mining operations in Western Australia.
According to FactSet data, analysts expect Hochschild Mining's stock price to rise 32.8% in 2019. According to the company's production target for 2022, 360,000 to 375,000 ounces of gold will be produced from three mines.
As well as Silver Lake Resources, Endeavour Mining and B2Gold, PT Merdeka Copper Gold, and PT Merdeka Copper Gold made the screen.
Based on market tailwinds such as lower yields, a weaker U.S. dollar, and geopolitical tensions, Neuhauser of Livermore believes gold is now "the best" asset class to own.
“We feel that the metal will have tremendous leverage over the next several years and therefore have a hedge fund exposure of well over 20% through specific small-cap miners," he said.
Physical gold is also owned by the fund.
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