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2-Year Treasury Yield Slips From Highest Level in More Than Five Months

August 28, 2023
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In the early hours of Monday, the 2-year Treasury yield, which holds relevance to policy considerations, retreated from its recent peak, marking the highest level since March. This shift was instigated by renewed interest among government debt buyers, setting the tone for the commencement of the trading week.

Key Developments:

  • The 2-year Treasury yield, represented by BX:TMUBMUSD02Y, stood at 5.037%, reflecting a decline of 1.7 basis points compared to Friday's 5.054%. It's important to note that yields exhibit an inverse relationship with prices.
  • The 10-year Treasury yield, indicated by BX:TMUBMUSD10Y, recorded 4.208%, reflecting a decrease of 3.1 basis points from Friday's 4.239%.
  • Similarly, the 30-year Treasury yield, denoted as BX:TMUBMUSD30Y, stood at 4.26%, displaying a reduction of 3.3 basis points from Friday's 4.293%.
  • Data from Dow Jones Markets Data elucidates that during the preceding week, the 2-year yield observed an increase of 12 basis points, whereas the 10-year and 30-year yields registered declines of 1.2 basis points and 8.6 basis points, respectively.

Market Dynamics:

Analysts and economists continued to assess the implications of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday. It was noted that while Powell conveyed a cautious approach toward additional interest rate hikes, he also emphasized the central bank's readiness to implement such hikes if circumstances warrant.

Market Activity:

Buyers exhibited renewed interest in U.S. government debt on Monday, following the upward trajectory that led the policy-sensitive 2-year rate to conclude Friday's session at 5.054%, representing its highest point since March 8. The new week commenced with a significant auction of 2-year notes amounting to $45 billion, accompanied by a $46 billion offering of 5-year notes. These auctions will serve as litmus tests for the demand emanating from both domestic and foreign buyers.

Notable Considerations:

The initial day of the trading week, Monday, bore no scheduled economic data releases. However, it marks the beginning of a bustling week, highlighted by key events such as the release of the July Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index on Thursday, followed by the unveiling of the August nonfarm payrolls data on Friday.

Cathy Hills
Associate Editor
Eric Ng
John Liu
Editorial Board
Bryan Curtis
Adan Harris
Managing Editor
Cathy Hills
Associate Editor

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